The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. heritage commons university of utah. 04:58 PM. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. 2,. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. It's easy. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Accuracy is not guaranteed. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. david senak now. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. MANAGER'S SALARY. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. r/fivethirtyeight. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio gold rush supreme second chance winners. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week.
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