A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Thats 150,000 generations. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us Step 4. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Maybe that one would have been better. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. That's 150,000 generations. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Thats going to take a LONG time. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Step 1. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Which one's bigger? -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Just go have some fucking fun! He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Whoa. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com But let's think about this some more. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Probability is a pure odd. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Think of yourself as dead. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. But let's think about this some more. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Onward to freedom! Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Want to Read. Those who are brave (foolish?) Yet here we are. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. So far, so good. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? I think that was exactly Msgr. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000.
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