Cy Nielson, LHP The timing of his surgery is more detrimental than that of the other college pitchers, as it ups the odds that he wont (or will barely) pitch in 2023. Sunday Notes: Born To Brits, Harry Ford Could Be - blogs.fangraphs.com Jones spent 2022, his second full pro season, at High-A Greensboro, where he sat 94-98 mph across 122.2 innings and posted a 26.7% K% and 9.6% BB%. His command and changeup are both still works in progress, but his 2022 fastball strike% (68%) is an encouraging sign, and again, Jones has a special level of athleticism that should enable him to hone both over time. From the left side of the plate, Rodriguez has an exceptional ability to rip his hands through pitches on the inner edge of the zone. Shim is a big, physically mature righty with huge present arm strength, creeping into the upper 90s. Tony Sanchez / C 6. He was one of the younger players available in the 2022 draft and yet at a listed 205 pounds, Kennedy is more physically mature than most of his peers, even some who are a year or two older than he is. The Pirates have three of those 38 players, with Termarr Johnson ranked 21st, Endy Rodriguez 22nd and Henry Davis 38th. Defensively, Nunez has transitioned from full-time third baseman to mostly first base, with a handful of innings in the other corner of the infield still mixed in. His slider has a sweeping horizontal shape, but his inability to locate it has hampered its utility. The depth-drive approach has extended to the amateur side of things, where the Pirates tend to spread out their bonus pool to at least a couple of over-slot prospects every year. There were some signs of offensive progress in 2022. The organization will be thrilled if . Some aspects of that optimistic projection still exist, while others have changed or are currently absent, but the tools package here is still on par with the middle of the everyday second baseman player population, and were hoping that young Peguero will polish up his games current smudges. Isaias Uribe, LHP In his time at Bradenton, Chandler struck out 33 batters over 26 innings, and while his walk rate was an unacceptably high 15.8%, thats actually down a notch from what he was allowing over a larger sample on the complex. Blanco is a gigantic corner outfield/1B prospect who had the most present raw power in the January 2022 international signing class. Still, his tendency to roll his wrists over early in his swing, breaking up his attack angle, resulted in a groundball rate above 50%. Hes now 23 but could still be a fifth outfielder. Both can be in the lineup every night because of Rodriguezs defensive versatility and the universal DH, and a more liberal timeshare behind the plate might help keep them both healthier and more consistently productive on offense. Instead, Lopez picked up some reps in the Dominican Winter League, just a few games against the most advanced competition he has yet seen, and is poised to spend 2023 as a 21-year-old at Altoona. Pittsburgh Pirates Top 61 Prospects | FanGraphs Baseball Enmanuel Terrero, OF For now, hes lithe enough for third, where he has a shot to be an everyday player based largely on his power projection. Alessandro Ercolani, RHP Mlodzinski started for most of his 2022 season at Double-A but was called upon for middle-inning relief on a few occasions, and though it was only a handful of appearances, he was more effective as a reliever than as a starter. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. This was a four-year rookie-level player who had suddenly been added to the Royals 40-man roster after the 2021 season even though he had all of 32 innings above Low-A. Hernandez, also 19, sat 93-96 in 2022 and has a good-looking two-planed slider, but a relief-only delivery and a mature build. Not exactly on topic, but Id love to get some thoughts on the recently graduated Jack Suwinski. Lolo Sanchez, CF From 2017-21, Webbs strikeout rate more than doubled as a result of his uptick in arm strength. Axiel Plaz, C Kennedys delivery is simple, compact, repeatable, and easy-looking, and you can project heavily on his changeup because of this, though right now he often gets underneath it and it tends to cut on him. He has a wide arsenal, including a changeup and a two-seamer, but tends to rely more heavily on pairing his riding fastball and curveball to keep hitters off balance. His pop times are routinely in the 1.85-1.95 range in part because Endy has a strong arm, but also because hes almost always leaving his crouch before he even receives the pitch on steal attempts, which hastens his exchange. 2022 Pittsburgh Pirates Summary Stats Schedule Player Usage Depth Chart The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. Davis was on the IL multiple times in 2022 with issues stemming from a small nondisplaced fracture of his left wrist that he suffered when he was hit by a pitch in May. Top Prospects Team Lists 2022 2021 AL NL Pirates Top Prospects Reading Options Detail Level Data Only Full Position Filter All 60 FV Prospects 1. Very Young Prospects to Monitor The power might be enough to make him a 1-WAR player if given regular at-bats in the big leagues, but as a second base-only defender, its hard to find an on-roster role for a player like this if they arent hitting enough to play there all the time. He has a pronounced bat wrap. Pittsburgh Pirates Prospects: Updated FanGraph Rankings The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. Hernandez showed up to 2022 spring training with a harder breaking ball than he had previously shown, and as the season went along, he added to his fastball as well. But the improvement on his slider means he could solidify a role as a middle reliever, especially if the converted infielder is able to re-establish the fastball velos he flirted with a few years ago. Readers should note that taking an aggressive line with players like this has yielded predictably mixed results in the past (so far, so good: Kevin Alcantara, Marco Luciano, Alexander Canario, Jordy Vargas, etc. Hard-Throwers Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. 76. Andres Silvera, RHP. To that point in the season, his mid-teens walk rate had inspired guarded optimism regarding an improved approach, though Nunez also may have become intentionally passive, as his raw swing% was a minuscule 40%. It plays nicely with Flowers plus slider, and he has enough changeup feel to parachute one in against lefties once in a while. Pegueros pull-heavy style of contact leaves him vulnerable to breaking balls on the outer half, even ones that catch a lot of the plate. Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. It felt like the Pirates were slow-playing him a little too much after the pandemic (Nolasco was easily physical enough to go to Low-A in 2021), but perhaps they simply knew he wasnt ready to parse full-season pitching. In most cases, corner-only outfielders who play consistent big league roles have better actualized their raw power in games. He finished 2022 at Altoona and has a chance to be in the big leagues at some point this season. ago Across the 2022 calendar, Davis had nearly as many HBPs as he did extra-base hits, to which the wrist fracture likely contributed. In August of 2022, Jun-Seok announced he would skip the September KBO draft in order to sign with an MLB club right away. Hes not a great defender right now, and probably wont ever be better than a 40-grade glove, but Davis frames high strikes well and has plus raw arm strength. With Endy Rodriguez around, it may not matter a ton. His low-80s slider, which has late, two-plane bite, has improved considerably and is now an above-average big league pitch. In cases like these, sometimes the things that initially pique your interest, like data and/or available video, are enough to excite on their own even as you acknowledge that the error bars are as wide as can be because of the relative dearth of reinforcing club opinions. He moved into a minor league relief role in 2022. As FanGraphs sourced TrackMan/Hawkeye data from team personnel after the season, De Los Santos hard hit rate and peak exit velocities stood apart from most of his peers, especially when limiting the sample to the DSLs age-appropriate players. Pirates Prospects Daily: Bryan Reynolds Plays Left Field In His Spring Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. Not Quite Enough Hit Tool Martin has plus-plus raw power and a 30-grade hit tool, not enough for first base but maybe enough for consideration overseas. None of his other pitches are above average in fact most of them are currently below average but Chen has plus command projection and a plus changeup, so hes pretty likely to pitch at the back of a big league rotation or as an innings-eating spot starter. He pairs it with two above-average secondaries: a high-80s slider with sharp, downward movement that garnered a 48% chase rate against righties, and an 11-5 curveball with a shape that mimics the slider, only slower and looser, which helps keep batters off balance and enables him to pitch backwards. Nicolas has consistent glove-side command of his entire repertoire, and he tends to live on that half of the plate exclusively. All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. Nolasco had two years of surface-level statistical success in rookie ball and the huge exit velos to match, but now after three pro seasons, his strikeout rates show a troubling upward trend. That makes changeup development, or anything that might help him deal with righties, important, and indeed thats already underway Solometo has begun to more heavily incorporate a mid-80s changeup into his pitch mix. He also mixes in the occasional changeup or curveball, which accounted for a combined 11% of his offerings at Low-A. A few months later, the Pirates emerged as the word-of-mouth favorite to sign him; he inked a deal for $750,000 in January. The FanGraphs prospect team presents their 2022 top 100 list . John started working at Pirates Prospects in 2009, but his connection to the Pittsburgh Pirates started exactly 100 years earlier when Dots Miller debuted for the 1909 World Series champions. Escotto, 20, was a 40+ FV prospect after his huge DSL season and later became part of the Jameson Taillon trade, but he struggled very badly in 2022 and needed to be demoted back to Low-A. He and Solometo have the same flavor of stuff wrapped in different packages. (One weird scouting note: Peguero chokes up with two strikes, but only with his top hand, creating separation between his two hands la Kevin Youkilis.) Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Mitch Keller, Travis Swaggerty, Tahnaj Thomas and. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball His delivery also creates an odd angle on a mid-80s cutter/slider, which Solometo commands to his glove side. Chandlers pitching performance wasnt as lights-out as it had been pre-promotion, but it was still a display of the rightys potential. Its a pretty big lost year of reps for a multi-sport player looking to get traction with the bat in pro ball. Given how good he is at third, it seems likely that Triolo will be a good defensive second baseman if given enough time, and hes a fine emergency option at short (Kyle Farmer has played there a ton and Triolo is about that good). JP Massey, RHP A double-plus hit tool leads the way for Termarr Johnson, a 5'7" 175 lb left-handed hitter who calls Jose Ramirez to mind on a quick visual evaluation. If a clearer path at third base existed in this org, that might have been enough for us to do it. A core scouting rule of thumb is to take the long view with catchers who have impact offensive potential. Gonzales has begun to track like Keston Hiura, Carter Kieboom, and Jeter Downs, and his swing shares mechanical similarities with both Hiura and Kieboom. He spent two years at a JUCO before heading to South Alabama in 2020, and he only pitched 21 total innings for the Jaguars due to the timing of his transfer. M.J. Melendezs 2019 and Bo Naylors 2020 are recent examples of otherwise good-hitting catchers who had a terrible offensive season in the mid-minors that was followed by an immediate and significant rebound the following year. Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. by Retrosheet. His feel for throwing strikes would come and go, and hes only 6-feet-1, a little smaller than the prep pitching prototypes who you often see getting $2 million or more in the draft. A draft-eligible sophomore in 2022, Harrington is an athletic, pitchability righty with a tailing low-90s fastball and a power-sink changeup in the mid-80s. Head, who was part of the Joe Musgrove trade, has Kd at a 33% clip in A-ball and might also be in the midst of a swing change that gets rid of his arm bar. His swing is already geared for lift, but he doesnt currently have the raw juice to make the most of it. He has the stuff to continue developing as a starter just in case things click, but the bullpen is Jimenezs more likely future destination. feels like the more realistic path to an eventual 45-grade role, or above. His breaking ball is now a mid-80s power breaker thats up to 88-89 at peak and generates plus chase and whiff rates. Atlanta Braves Stats | FanGraphs Baseball For the second straight year, he allowed a high rate of home runs, which inflated his ERA. He can play a fine shortstop. Barcos long, low arm slot creates a flat approach angle, but hes not really inclined to climb the ladder and pitch at the top of the zone right now, instead living on the arm-side third of the plate with sink and tail. His letter-high, heater-heavy style of pitching, like Gerrit Coles, results in lots of fly balls and he may have long-term vulnerability to the home run. 11/ . Pittsburgh Pirates 2021 Top 50 Prospects His delivery evokes Madison Bumgarners long, slingin lefty arm stroke, and Solometos east/west feel for location is Bum-ish, but dont mistake this for a true comp, as Bumgarner had already made 24 big league starts at Solometos age. Pegueros lack of throwing accuracy from shortstop is concerning. While he has a low three-quarters slot that creates natural tail on his heater, Kennedy can still create riding life at the letters. His slot also helps generate two-plane sweep on his breaking ball. We added RosterResource's Depth Charts; these reflect a team's current. His arm action is very long, and he bends at his torso as he lunges toward the plate, allowing for more extension during his release, but also creating an uncomfy angle that adds stress to his shoulder. His swing decisions and ability to make contact out front and tap into his latent power improved throughout the season. Its now fair to expect that the current version of Nicolas will be capable of holding down a spot toward the back of Pittsburghs rotation by the middle of 2024. They all received. The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. Even with that in mind, any team would be happy to sign a teenager with this kind of stuff for just $750,000 of their bonus pool. He then played for Taiwans National Team at the WBSC U23 World Cup and helped los Caimanes de Barranquilla win the Colombian Winter League and later the Caribbean Series. His range, footwork, ability to bend, and overall athleticism are all plus, and it made sense to try to develop him as a shortstop for as long as possible, but Peguero finally saw time at second base in 2022 and a permanent move there will hopefully help him throw more confidently and accurately. When an opposing pitcher releases the ball, the scoop in Johnsons bat head is pointing at the mound with his back elbow hiked way up above his shoulder in a position that seems to defy the rules of normal human physiology. Prospects Coverage | FanGraphs Baseball In addition to sending Bradley back to Boston, the Milwaukee Brewers are also sending two of their top-30 prospects. Hes a young, switch-hitting catcher with cartoonish offensive numbers (especially from a bat-to-ball standpoint) and uncommon defensive versatility, as hes played a bunch of second base and left field as well. There were only three big league hitters with 100 plate appearances who had sub-70% in-zone contact rates in 2022 (Chris Morel, Brett Phillips, Eli White). Obviously the 2021 draft was the big one, and seven players from that class are currently on the list. Triolos swing and footwork in the box make him vulnerable in a couple of obvious ways (high heat, sliders away), and we dont think the 60-grade hit, 45-grade power profile that he has put on paper so far will hold quite that much water against big league arms. Theyve tripled since his claim-staking 2019 DSL season and Nolsaco Kd at a whopping 34% rate in the 2022 Florida State League. He has the strength to do damage the other way, but save for the occasional pitch on the outer edge, hes geared to pull. Jackson Glenn, 2B. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. Let's Identify Some Hitter Sleeper Candidates | FanGraphs Baseball Injured Arms }); Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category. While he hasnt continued producing the mid-to-upper-90s velocity he did during college relief outings, Nicolas still sits a respectable 92-95 mph and leans on his two above-average breaking balls, a low-80s curveball and a mid-80s slider. The recent track record of hitters this size isnt favorable, with only Franmil Reyes really panning out, but its exciting to watch Blanco take BP and see how loose and athletic he is for his size. There isnt suddenly big power here or anything like that, but its the start of a physical step that was likely necessary for Cheng to take to play major league ball. After the season, he again played winter ball, this time in Puerto Rico with Carolina, where Cheng struggled. Selbys fastball sits 96-98 mph and he looks to blow it past hitters up in the zone. Top 42 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 28, 2020 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. This is one of those prospects fantasy players should value more highly than this because of his potential home run output, whereas defensive limitations cause us to value his real-world roster fit in this range. Traded from Arizona to Pittsburgh as part of the Starling Marte deal, Peguero had been a top 100 prospect for the last couple of years, tracking like a plus bat middle infielder. Reports around his once-stellar defense have dimmed, and were hoping its due more to rust and lost time than to an actual regression in ability. The Pirates got a deal done for a cool million, nearly twice the slot amount in the fourth round. Massey, going on 23, is a very loose, projectable college prospect from Minnesota. Whats more, theres a chance Triolo hits enough to simply be an everyday option at second (or if he turns out to be okay in center). His swing is quite uphill from the left side and he can tend to swing underneath fastballs up and away from him, but overall he is very difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone despite his steep-launch style of contact. Hes already taken a sizable step in the breaking ball department in just two pros seasons. Chen began his career with 26 consecutive walk-free innings in the 2021 Florida Complex League, then spent all of 2022 at Bradenton, where he had a solid second pro season, carrying a 3.76 FIP across 98 innings. He entered the 2022 spring as a high-probability 40 FV prospect who some scouts thought belonged in the 40+ tier because of pitching approach changes Barco could make in pro ball that might enable a breakout, but he ended up blowing out his UCL and having Tommy John in May. His delivery has a relief-only look to it. Format = Team Position Player | Age on 4/1/23 | Highest level played | ETA. Once-Loved Outfielders The top six were already know from this list, because Fangraphs had six Pirates in their top 100 prospects. This is the case with De Los Santos. The Pirates claimed him off waivers and quickly lost him to the Diamondbacks in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 draft. His arm action looks longer and looser than it was in his injury-shortened 2021, and his upper body appears more closed, which might be helping him hide the ball longer than before. Ercolani, an 18-year-old righty from San Marino, had a velo spike during the winter and has been up to 97 mph in the bullpen recently. Across his 94.1 innings, he racked up 111 strikeouts against just 31 walks, with a 1.21 WHIP. Flowers has pitched very well in the mid-minors (he carried a 2.88 ERA with Altoona in 2022) and hes been especially good at avoiding walks for a pure relief prospect. Cristofer Melendez, RHP Finding a great changeup (or maybe a split?) The swing length and approach combination is scary enough to keep Lopez out of the 40+ FV tier even though he has this sort of upside. The high-waisted Lopez has a wide range of athletic/mobility outcomes that will impact where he ultimately ends up on defense. Malone, a former first round high schooler who was part of the Starling Marte trade with Arizona, has barely pitched since he was acquired, and dealt with shoulder injuries in 2022. The husky Nunez swings really hard and generates big peak exit velocities. Jones checked all but two scouting boxes as a high school pitcher. Terrero is a compact outfielder with a well-rounded skill set and strong rookie-level line. Antwone Kelly, RHP Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors His footwork on throws to second is clunky and variable, which often impacts his throw times and accuracy, but the pure arm strength is in there. It could stand to have more consistent depth, but the flashes are there, and remember that Kennedy is barely 18. He could get a cup of coffee in 2023. Thomas 2022 was a tale of two seasons. His fastball remains in the mid-90s but continues to underperform in terms of its bat-missing ability due to its hittable line. Melendez (sitting 97) and Mateo (sitting 95) are upper-level relievers with poor control. If he continues missing bats at High-A in 2023, though, Pittsburgh may be forced to add him. Reports, tool grades, . Fourth-round high school pitcher Owen Kellington was a participant in the 2021 Draft League and Combine, and looked like an interesting, slow-burning developmental prospect prior to a hamstring injury than ended his 2022 season. His size creates some stiffness and imbalance during his swing, which can lead to him putting suboptimal contact in play.
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